WTA Finals
Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina: We are all set to witness a new WTA Finals champion this year! Elena Rybakina continued her excellent form in the semifinals as well. She defeated Jessica Pegula in three sets. Despite losing the first set 4-6 to Pegula, Rybakina fought back strongly to win the next two sets 6-4, 6-3. On the other hand, Aryna Sabalenka avenged her Wimbledon semifinal loss earlier this year by defeating Amanda Anisimova.
Sabalenka overcame Anisimova in the other semifinal, booking her spot in the WTA Finals championship match with a 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 victory. This marks Sabalenka’s second WTA Finals appearance, while it is the first-ever finals appearance for Elena Rybakina. Rybakina remains unbeaten in this tournament so far, having won all her group-stage matches, including a stunning victory over the 2023 champion, Iga Swiatek.

Head-to-Head
Let’s take a quick look at the head-to-head record between Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina. Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina, the two have faced each other 13 times before this final. Sabalenka leads the rivalry with 8 wins to Rybakina’s 5, giving her a 61.5% win rate, while Rybakina holds a 38.5% win rate.
Last year, Rybakina defeated Sabalenka in their group-stage encounter at the WTA Finals in three sets — a result that could give her some confidence heading into this match. In 2025 alone, they have met three times, with Sabalenka leading 2-1. In their most recent clash at the Wuhan Open in China, Sabalenka comfortably beat Rybakina 6-3, 6-3 in the quarterfinals.
What to Expect
Both players are extremely strong on hard courts. It’s a visual treat for tennis fans around the world to see these two power hitters battle for the WTA Finals title. The undefeated champion will earn a maximum of 1,500 WTA ranking points and $3,885,000 in prize money.
Rybakina has reached the final without losing a single match. If she wins today, she will earn 1,500 ranking points and likely climb to World No. 5, pushing Jessica Pegula one spot down.
2025 Season So Far
Sabalenka has enjoyed a stellar 2025 season, capturing four titles, including a Grand Slam. She has won 59 out of 70 matches this year, boasting an impressive 84% win rate. Rybakina, meanwhile, has won two titles and holds a 74% win rate, with 53 wins out of 72 matches before the start of the WTA Finals in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Prediction
While Elena Rybakina’s form has been outstanding, Aryna Sabalenka looks slightly stronger on paper. Considering her experience, head-to-head advantage, and consistency, Sabalenka appears to be the favorite to lift the 2025 WTA Finals Trophy.
Rybakina, however, should not be underestimated — she has shown remarkable composure and resilience throughout the tournament. But based on the statistics and current momentum, it looks like Aryna Sabalenka might walk away with the WTA Finals crown this year.
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